Bodø/Glimt vs Union Saint-Gilloise / Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva / NK Celje vs Ararat-Armenia / Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe

Four second legs, four tickets built around the same idea: these ties are already stretched open, and stretched ties produce goals. Nothing here is a wild swing — every pick leans on what already happened in leg one. That's the whole approach today: follow the story the first legs already told us, and back it to continue.

Bodø/Glimt vs Union Saint-Gilloise

The first leg in Brussels finished 3-3, a genuine goal-fest between two attack-minded sides who both know how to hurt each other defensively. That kind of chaos rarely disappears for the return leg, especially with Bodø/Glimt needing to go again in front of their own crowd at Aspmyra. Union have already shown in this tie that they can trade blows even away from home, so the +3 handicap looks like a heavily cushioned safety net rather than a real risk. Over 1.5 goals feels close to a formality given how open this tie has already been.

Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

Zvezda are the ones under real pressure here, trailing 1-0 on aggregate and needing to control this game from the first whistle in front of their own fans. That desperation should translate into early pressure and territorial dominance, the kind that at minimum neutralizes Hapoel in the opening 45 rather than letting them nick it. Hapoel are already down a defender with Baltaxa suspended after his red card, and losing two more options in Biton and João Victor leaves them thin defensively and more likely to be pinned back for long spells rather than controlling a half themselves. With Zvezda pushing bodies forward throughout, the expectation is a game either shared evenly or tilted Zvezda's way in both periods — not a Hapoel half.

NK Celje vs Ararat-Armenia

Ararat arrive off the back of a 2-1 win in the first leg and a run of three straight victories, so their attacking confidence is clearly high, and BTTS has landed in five of their last six matches across competitions. Celje, for their part, have seen BTTS in seven of their last eight outings, so this is a market that's basically following the trend for both teams. With Celje forced to push numbers forward to overturn the deficit at home, gaps should open up for Ararat to exploit on the break, which is exactly the profile that produces goals at both ends or a high-scoring game.

Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe were utterly dominant in Istanbul, cruising to a 2-0 first-leg win through Talisca and Greenwood while barely being troubled at the back. That kind of control usually doesn't just vanish for the second leg — even with a two-goal cushion, Fenerbahçe have shown they like to keep pushing rather than sit back, and Sturm Graz have no choice but to go all-out at home to save the tie. Two teams playing with genuine attacking intent, one out of confidence and one out of necessity, makes this the safest leg of the four — hence the short price.